Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.003934 0.004137 0.004345 0.004574 0.004821 0.005078 0.005367
2025-07-20 0.003631 0.003937 0.004265 0.004643 0.005069 0.005536 0.006088
2025-07-27 0.003376 0.003735 0.004130 0.004599 0.005144 0.005763 0.006523
2025-08-03 0.003188 0.003583 0.004027 0.004567 0.005213 0.005965 0.006920
2025-08-10 0.003031 0.003452 0.003933 0.004531 0.005262 0.006135 0.007274
2025-08-17 0.002958 0.003411 0.003939 0.004607 0.005441 0.006464 0.007835
2025-08-24 0.002848 0.003318 0.003874 0.004590 0.005500 0.006640 0.008206
2025-08-31 0.002744 0.003225 0.003803 0.004558 0.005535 0.006782 0.008534
2025-09-07 0.002636 0.003124 0.003715 0.004499 0.005528 0.006864 0.008781
2025-09-14 0.002536 0.003027 0.003629 0.004436 0.005511 0.006928 0.009003
2025-09-21 0.002475 0.002976 0.003598 0.004442 0.005583 0.007114 0.009402
2025-09-28 0.002357 0.002849 0.003464 0.004306 0.005456 0.007019 0.009389
2025-10-05 0.002303 0.002804 0.003436 0.004310 0.005522 0.007196 0.009788
2025-10-12 0.002277 0.002793 0.003451 0.004374 0.005673 0.007500 0.010393
2025-10-19 0.002212 0.002728 0.003393 0.004333 0.005673 0.007584 0.010665
2025-10-26 0.002155 0.002673 0.003344 0.004304 0.005687 0.007689 0.010974
2025-11-02 0.002100 0.002618 0.003295 0.004271 0.005693 0.007779 0.011263
2025-11-09 0.002085 0.002617 0.003318 0.004341 0.005852 0.008107 0.011959
2025-11-16 0.002041 0.002574 0.003282 0.004325 0.005882 0.008237 0.012333
2025-11-23 0.001995 0.002527 0.003239 0.004296 0.005890 0.008332 0.012650
2025-11-30 0.001942 0.002470 0.003180 0.004241 0.005856 0.008358 0.012846
2025-12-07 0.001890 0.002413 0.003120 0.004183 0.005815 0.008368 0.013015
2025-12-14 0.001862 0.002387 0.003103 0.004188 0.005872 0.008542 0.013486